How Biden Can Lose The Election
From Girish Modi, Decatur, GA
There are 50 countries around the World that will elect their leaders in 2024. Though American presidential election is ten months away, the whole world is watching every political development and guessing will affect who will win the presidency.
There is a small chance that Biden may lose the election and hand over the coveted presidency to Donald Trump, thus giving him a second life, nobody can think of in view of his many legal problems and making a history. Right now, Trump is dividing his time between campaign rallies and attending trials. Trumps’ poll numbers are rising slowly but steady. In latest polls Trump is ahead of Biden in five swing states.
American electorate is not parliamentary type like in Britain, India, and other democratic countries wherein a majority party in parliament chooses a prime minister. In America voters elect a president. A candidate may win popular votes, but he can still lose if he does not win a magical 270 electorate votes. Al Gore had won more popular votes that Georgia Bush in 2000 election, but he lost Florida by 535 votes thus handing over presidency to Bush. Similarly, in 2016 Hillary Clinton had won popular votes, but lost election to Trump because he won 270 electorate votes. Such weird is American electorate system.
Biden is losing support because of (i) massive immigrants’ influx at the Mexican border, (ii) inflation that spiked grocery and other consumer goods, though economy is doing fine, and (iii) Hamas-Israel war causing young voters away from him. That’s why Biden’s job approval rating is sliding downwards.
Since there are only two major parties which fight elections and independents or third-party candidates have no change because they need lots of money to run campaigns, no third-party candidate ever threatens a major party candidate.
Voters in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Georgia (five swing States) have final say as who will become next president. Since there are only two major parties whose candidates fight elections and independents or third-party candidates have no chance because they need lots of money to run campaigns, no third-party candidate ever threatens a major party candidate. Trump had narrowly lost votes in these five States in 2020, but right now it appears that he is ahead of Biden in these States. If events do not change in Biden’s favor in next 10 months such as Israel ending the war and agreeing to a Palestine State, he is in trouble because young voters will elect “lesser of evils” by casting their votes for Trump.
It will be interesting to watch how things turn out in American landscape for either candidate in next few months.
(This submission is not edited.)